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                              英国经济面临下行压力 脱欧将加剧陷入衰退可能

                              英国财政大臣奥斯本2月28日表示,政府可能需要进一步削减公共支出,以助力经济的发展。英国国家统计局近日公布的最新数据显示,英国2015年四季度国内生产总值增长0.5%。较为强劲的家庭支出在去年年底提振了英国经济,为经济增长作出了较大贡献,但英国企业投资下降对经济形成拖累。经济学家和政治人士均警告说,由于全球经济形势不稳、股市动荡等因素的影响,加之英国眼下进入脱欧公投前的关键时刻,不确定因素增多,因此英国经济面临的下行压力增大。

                              新天地棋牌下载官网JIEZHI2015NIANSANJIDU,YINGGUOJINGJIYIJINGSHIXIANLIANXU11GEYUEDEHUANBIZHENGZENGZHANG。2015NIANYINGGUOJINGJIQUANNIANZENGZHANGYUQIWEI2.2%,DIYU2014NIANDE2.9%,DANYUQITAFADAJINGJITIXIANGBI,YINGGUODEJINGJIXINGSHIRENGSHILEGUANHELINGRENMANYIDE。ZI2013NIANYILAI,YINGGUOJINGJIJINRUFUSUTONGDAO,JINGJIZENGZHANGSHITOULIANGHAO,2014NIANZENGFUGENGSHIWEIJUQIGUOJITUANZHISHOU。

                              YOUFENXIZHICHU,YINGGUOJINGJIZHISUOYINENGGOULVXIANZOUCHUSHUAITUIQI,ZHUYAODEYIYUPENGBOFAZHANDEFUWUYEYIJIWANGSHENGDEXIAOFEIXUQIUDENG。QIZHONG,FUWUYESHIYINGGUOJINGJIZENGZHANGDEZHONGYAOZHIZHU,QICHANZHIZHANGUONEISHENGCHANZONGZHIDEBIZHONGWEI78.4%。TONGJIXIANSHI,YINGGUOFUWUYEXUQIUQIANGJING,XINZENGYEWUHEJIUYELVJUNCHIXUZENGZHANG。JIUXIAOFEIERYAN,QUNIANSIJIDUYINGGUOJIATINGZHICHUJILVZENGZHANG0.7%,WEI2015NIANZUIDISHUIPING,DANNIANLVSHANGSHENG3.1%。QUNIANSANJIDU,YINGGUOJIATINGZHICHUDADAO8NIANYILAIZUIGAO,CIJILEJINGJIZENGZHANG。YINGGUOMEITIFENXICHENG,JIATINGXIAOFEIQIANGJINGZHUYAOGUIGONGYUYINGGUOJIAOWEIWENDINGDEXINZIZENGZHANG、JIEJINYULINGDETONGZHANGLVYIJIJIBENSHENGHUOYONGPINJIAGEWEICHUXIANDAFUSHANGZHANG。BUGUO,YINGGUO《MEIRIYOUBAO》BAODAOCHENG,QUANQIUJINRONGSHICHANGFENGYUNBIANHUAN,GUSHIXIADIEMINGXIAN,YIJIYINGGUOTUOOUGONGTOURIYILINJINDENG,YIDINGCHENGDUSHANGHUIEZHIYINGGUOXINGSHIXIRENDEJIATINGXIAOFEI,CONGERJIJINGJIZENGZHANGZAOCHENGFUMIANYINGXIANG。

                              QUANQIUJINGJIZENGFUFANGHUAN、GUSHIDONGDANGXIADIEJIGUOJIYOUJIACHIXUDIMIDENGYINSUJIANGSHIJINNIANDEYINGGUOJINGJIMIANLINZHE“ZONGHEXINGDEFENGXIAN”,JINGJIXIAXINGYALIZENGDA。YINGGUOYINGGELANYINXING(YANGXING)RIQIANYIJINGDIAOZHENGJINGJIZENGSUDEYUQI,BA2016NIANJINGJIZENGZHANGYUQIYOUQUNIAN11YUEFENGONGBUDE2.5%XIADIAODAO2.2%,2017NIANZENGZHANGYUQIYOUCIQIANDE2.6%JIANGZHI2.3%。BENYUECHU,YINGGELANYINXINGZHICHU“BULIDEWAIBUHUANJING,TONGGUOMAOYI、JINRONGJISHICHANGXINXINDENGQUDAODUIYINGGUOJINGJIZAOCHENGXIAXINGFENGXIAN”。YEYOUXUEZHEFENXIZHICHU,SUIZHEQUANQIUFANWEINEIJINGJIFUSUFALI,JINRONGSHICHANGPIRUAN,YOUQISHIGUSHIBODONGPINFAN,JIAZHIKONGBUXIJIDENGBUKEYUCEDETUFASHIJIANZAOCHENGDEWAIYIXIAOYING,JINNIANYINGGUOJINGJIXIAXINGFENGXIANMINGXIANSHANGSHENG。

                              不少经济学家称,如果英国选择脱离欧盟,将大大增加其经济陷入衰退的可能性。彭博社26日公布的调查结果显示,英国民众如果投票支持脱欧,英国陷入衰退的风险将激增40%。这比最新每月调查所预测的13%风险高出许多。奥斯本26日对英国广播公司说,如果英国退出欧盟,将对经济造成“重大打击”,奥斯本强调说,“退出欧盟是巨大的经济赌博”,他将采取一切努力阻止英国脱欧的发生。今年年初,奥斯本就坦言,2016年,英国经济可能面临“金融危机以来最艰难的一年”。如何防范经济下行,已经成为令英国人不得不重视的问题。(黄培昭)

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